3/15 Final

1) Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida 

2) UConn, Houston, Iowa State, Michigan State

3) Illinois, Purdue, Gonzaga, Nebraska

4) Vanderbilt, Virginia, Kansas, Alabama 

5) Arkansas, St. John's, Texas Tech, Wisconsin

6) Tennessee, Louisville, North Carolina, BYU 

7) Kentucky, UCLA, Miami FL, St. Mary's

8) Clemson, Ohio State, Utah State, Georgia

9) Villanova, Iowa, TCU, Texas A&M

10) NC State, Santa Clara, St. Louis, UCF

11) VCU, Miami OH/Missouri, Texas/SMU, South Florida

12) McNeese St, Akron, High Point, Northern Iowa

13) Cal Baptist, Hofstra, Hawaii, ND State

14) Troy, Wright St, Penn, Kennesaw St

15) Tennessee St, Idaho, Furman, Queens

16) Siena, UMBC, Long Island/Prairie View A&M, Lehigh/Howard

Just missed: San Diego St, Oklahoma, Auburn

3/15 AM

 

1) Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida 

2) UConn, Houston, Iowa State, Michigan State

3) Illinois, Purdue, Gonzaga, Nebraska

4) Vanderbilt, Virginia, Kansas, Alabama 

5) St. John's, Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Arkansas

6) Tennessee, Louisville, North Carolina, BYU 

7) Kentucky, UCLA, Miami FL, St. Mary's

8) Clemson, Ohio State, Utah State, Georgia

9) Villanova, Iowa, TCU, NC State 

10) Texas A&M, Santa Clara, St. Louis, UCF

11) Missouri, Miami OH/VCU, Texas/SMU, South Florida

12) McNeese St, Akron, Yale, High Point

13) Northern Iowa, Cal Baptist, Hofstra, Hawaii

14) ND State, Troy, Wright St, Kennesaw St

15) Tennessee St, Idaho, Furman, Queens

16) Siena, UMBC, Long Island/Prairie View A&M, Lehigh/Howard

Just missed: San Diego St, Oklahoma, Auburn

For the record, I am betting on the committee being lazy.  Purdue should be a 2 and Vandy should be a 3, especially if they win today and possibly even if they lose.  Based on years of doing this, I just don't think those are moves the committee is likely to make in the last 24 hours before release. 

I'm 95% settled that if Dayton wins, SMU will be the team that falls out.  One final update to come.....

3/14 PM

1) Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida 

2) UConn, Houston, Iowa State, Michigan State

3) Illinois, Purdue, Nebraska, Gonzaga 

4) Vanderbilt, Alabama, Kansas, Virginia

5) Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Arkansas, St. John's

6) Tennessee, Louisville, North Carolina, BYU 

7) Kentucky, Miami FL, St. Mary's, UCLA

8) Georgia, Clemson, Villanova, Utah State

9) Ohio State, Iowa, TCU, NC State 

10) St. Louis, Texas A&M, Santa Clara, UCF

11) Missouri, Miami OH/VCU, SMU/Texas, South Florida

12) McNeese St, Akron, Yale, High Point

13) Utah Valley, Northern Iowa, Hofstra, Hawaii

14) ND State, Troy, Wright St, Kennesaw St

15) Idaho, Furman, Tennessee St, Queens

16) Siena, UMBC, Long Island/Prairie View A&M, Lehigh/Howard

Just missed: San Diego St, Oklahoma, Auburn

The above will not be right in the end.  If VCU wins, they are automatic, so Mizzou moves to the play-in.  If VCU loses, Dayton comes in and one of VCU, SMU, and Texas drops out and Dayton comes in, probably as a 12 seed. Yale losing would also move seeds around as Penn would be a 14/15 seed rather than a 12.  Other than that, I think the seeds are pretty much set.

3/14 Seeds

1) Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida 

2) UConn, Houston, Iowa State, Michigan State

3) Illinois, Purdue, Nebraska, Gonzaga 

4) Alabama, Kansas, Vanderbilt, Virginia

5) Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Arkansas, Tennessee

6) St. John's, Louisville, North Carolina, BYU 

7) Kentucky, Miami FL, St. Mary's, UCLA

8) Georgia, Ohio State, Clemson, Villanova

9) Iowa, Utah State, TCU, St. Louis

10) NC State, Texas A&M, Santa Clara, UCF

11) Missouri, Miami OH/VCU, SMU/Texas, South Florida

12) McNeese St, Akron, Yale, High Point

13) Utah Valley, Northern Iowa, Hofstra, UC Irvine

14) ND State, Troy, Wright St, Idaho 

15) Furman, Tennessee St, Kennesaw St, Queens

16) Siena, UMBC, Long Island/Southern, Lehigh/Howard

Just missed: San Diego St, Oklahoma, Auburn

3/13 Seeds

1) Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida 

2) UConn, Houston, Iowa State, Michigan State

3) Illinois, Nebraska, Purdue, Gonzaga 

4) Alabama, Kansas, Vanderbilt, Virginia

5) Texas Tech, Tennessee, Arkansas, St. John's

6) Wisconsin, Louisville, North Carolina, BYU 

7) Kentucky, Miami FL, St. Mary's, Clemson

8) Georgia, Ohio State, UCLA, Villanova

9) Iowa, Utah State, TCU, St. Louis

10) NC State, Texas A&M, Santa Clara, UCF

11) Missouri, Miami OH/VCU, SMU/Oklahoma, South Florida

12) McNeese St, Akron, Yale, High Point

13) Utah Valley, Sam Houston St, Northern Iowa, Hofstra

14) UC Irvine, ND State, Troy, Wright St

15) Furman, Idaho, Tennessee St, Queens

16) Siena, UMBC, Long Island/Southern, Lehigh/Howard

Just missed: Texas, New Mexico, San Diego St, Indiana, Auburn

3/12 Seeds

1) Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida 

2) UConn, Houston, Illinois, Michigan State

3) Nebraska, Purdue, Iowa State, Gonzaga 

4) Alabama, Kansas, Vanderbilt, Virginia

5) Texas Tech, Tennessee, Arkansas, St. John's

6) Wisconsin, Louisville, North Carolina, BYU 

7) Kentucky, Miami FL, St. Mary's, Georgia

8) Villanova, UCLA, Ohio State, Clemson

9) Iowa, Texas A&M, Utah State, TCU

10) St. Louis, NC State, UCF, Santa Clara

11) Miami OH, SMU, Missouri/Texas, VCU/Auburn

12) South Florida, Yale, McNeese St, High Point

13) Utah Valley, Sam Houston St, Northern Iowa, Hofstra

14) UC Irvine, ND State, Troy, Wright St

15) Furman, Idaho, Tennessee St, Queens

16) Siena, UMBC, Long Island/Southern, Lehigh/Howard

Just missed but still in contention: New Mexico, San Diego St, Oklahoma, Indiana

3/11 Seeds

 

1) Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida 

2) UConn, Houston, Illinois, Michigan State

3) Nebraska, Purdue, Iowa State, Gonzaga 

4) Alabama, Kansas, Vanderbilt, Virginia

5) Texas Tech, Tennessee, Arkansas, Wisconsin

6) Louisville, St. John's, North Carolina, BYU 

7) Kentucky, Miami FL, St. Mary's, Georgia

8) Villanova, UCLA, Ohio State, Clemson

9) Iowa, Texas A&M, Utah State, TCU

10) St. Louis, NC State, Texas, Santa Clara

11) Miami OH, SMU, Missouri/UCF, VCU/Indiana

12) South Florida, Yale, Stephen F Austin, High Point

13) Utah Valley, Liberty, Northern Iowa, Hofstra

14) Hawaii, ND State, Troy, Wright St

15) Furman, Siena, Idaho, Tennessee St

16) Queens, UMBC, Long Island/Bethune-Cookman, Lehigh/Howard

Just missed but still in contention: Auburn, Cincinnati, New Mexico, San Diego St