Wednesday, March 7, 2012

3/8 Bracket

South East
1 Kentucky 1 Syracuse
16 MVSU/Sav St 16 WKU/Stony Brook
Louisville Pittsburgh
8 Kansas State 8 Iowa State
9 Saint Louis 9 Alabama
4 UNLV 4 Temple
13 Belmont 13 South Dakota St.
Albuquerque Portland
5 Wichita State 5 Florida State
12 Northwestern 12 BYU
2 Duke 2 Missouri
15 Texas-Arlington 15 Loyola MD
Greensburo Omaha
7 St. Mary's (CA) 7 New Mexico
10 Cincinnati 10 Washington
3 Indiana 3 Michigan
14 Akron 14 Nevada
Nashville Nashville
6 Notre Dame 6 Louisville
11 Texas 11 VCU
West Midwest
1 UNC 1 Kansas
16 LIU-Brooklyn 16 UNC Ashville
Greensburo Omaha
8 Purdue 8 Memphis
9 Connecticut 9 Virginia
4 Baylor 4 Wisconsin
13 Long Beach State 13 Tennessee/Xavier
Albuquerque Portland
5 Florida 5 Vanderbilt
12 Seton Hall/Colorado St. 12 Miami (FLA.)
2 Ohio State 2 Michigan State
15 Detroit 15 Lehigh
Louisville Columbus
7 San Diego State 7 Gonzaga
10 Harvard 10 Southern Miss
3 Georgetown 3 Marquette
14 Davidson 14 Montana
Pittsburgh Columbus
6 Murray State 6 Creighton
11 California 11 West Virginia

Did a little tweaking.... biggest change was moving New Mexico down from a 5 to a 7.... their resume (especially the terrible OOC scheduling... just brutal) just didn't support a 5.

Seton Hall stays in for now, but they are not safe at all.

Of all the little conference teams who have at least some claim at an at large (Drexel, Iona, MTSU, Oral Roberts) the one who I think might have a realistic shot is Iona... I'd put them around 20%, Drexel at 10%, and the rest <5%. If the Gaels would have gotten that win over Purdue (lost by 1 point) I think they'd be more like 50%. As it stands, Iona's best win away from home was a 2 point win over Denver. That's probably not good enough. To put it in perspective, everyone screamed bloody murder when VCU got in last year, but the Rams had 6 road or neutral wins over teams with higher RPI rankings than Iona's best non-home win.


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