Sunday, March 16, 2025

3/16 Final

No last minute changes.... everything is the same as below.  Enjoy the madness!



 1) Auburn, DukeHouston, Florida

2) Alabama, Tennessee, Michigan State, St. John's

3) Texas Tech, Kentucky, Wisconsin,  Iowa State 

4) Maryland, Texas A&M, MichiganArizona

5) Clemson, Oregon, Ole Miss, Purdue

6) BYU, Illinois, St. Mary's, Gonzaga 

7) KansasMissouriLouisville, UCLA

8) Marquette, MemphisUConn, Creighton

9)  Miss State, Georgia, Oklahoma, New Mexico

10) Arkansas, Baylor, Vanderbilt, West Virginia

11) DrakeVCUColorado StateUtah State/Indiana

12) Xavier/San Diego St, UC-San Diego, McNeese StLiberty

13) YaleAkronHigh PointGrand Canyon 

14) TroyLipscomb, UNC WilmingtonMontana 

15) Robert MorrisWoffordOmahaBryant 

16) Norfolk StateSIU-Edwardsville, St. Francis/AmericanMount St Mary's/Alabama State

3/16 Seed List 3PM CT

 1) Auburn, DukeHouston, Florida

2) Alabama, Tennessee, Michigan State, St. John's

3) Texas Tech, Kentucky, Wisconsin,  Iowa State 

4) Maryland, Texas A&M, Michigan, Arizona

5) Clemson, Oregon, Ole Miss, Purdue

6) BYU, Illinois, St. Mary's, Gonzaga 

7) KansasMissouri, Louisville, UCLA

8) Marquette, Memphis, UConn, Creighton

9)  Miss State, Georgia, Oklahoma, New Mexico

10) Arkansas, Baylor, Vanderbilt, West Virginia

11) Drake, VCUColorado StateUtah State/Indiana

12) Xavier/San Diego St, UC-San Diego, McNeese StLiberty

13) YaleAkronHigh PointGrand Canyon 

14) TroyLipscomb, UNC WilmingtonMontana 

15) Robert MorrisWoffordOmahaBryant 

16) Norfolk StateSIU-Edwardsville, St. Francis/AmericanMount St Mary's/Alabama State


Might make a couple tweaks but this should be close to final (unless UAB wins, which is looking quite possible at the moment).  I personally would take Boise over Indiana, but I don't think the committee will actually do that.  Xavier is now safe, the Blazers are playing for IU's spot.


Saturday, March 15, 2025

3/16 Seed List AM

1) Auburn, DukeHouston, Florida

2) Alabama, Tennessee, Michigan State, St. John's

3) Texas Tech, Kentucky, Wisconsin, Maryland

4) Arizona, Iowa State, Texas A&M, Michigan

5) Purdue, Clemson, Oregon, Ole Miss

6) BYU, Illinois, St. Mary's, Gonzaga

7) Kansas, Missouri, Louisville, UCLA

8) Marquette, Memphis, Creighton, UConn

9)  Miss State, Georgia, Oklahoma, New Mexico

10) BaylorArkansas, Vanderbilt, West Virginia

11) Drake, VCU, Colorado StateUtah State/San Diego St

12) Xavier/Boise StateUC-San Diego, McNeese St, Liberty

13) Yale, AkronHigh PointLipscomb

14) Troy, Grand Canyon, UNC WilmingtonMontana

15) Robert MorrisWoffordOmaha, Norfolk State

16) BryantSIU-Edwardsville, St. Francis/American, Mount St Mary's/Alabama State


-3 MWC teams in the play-in is strange, but that is how I see it at the moment.  

-If UAB or George Mason wins, Boise State would drop out (neither Memphis nor VCU would drop out, although VCU would fall to a play-in game).  If both win, Xavier would drop out as well.

-Texas, Indiana, UNC, and Ohio State are the last 4 out.  Just too many missed opportunities for all of them to have much of a gripe about being left out.


3/15 Seed List

  1) Auburn, Duke, Houston, Florida

2) Alabama, Tennessee, Michigan State, St. John's

3) Texas Tech, Kentucky, Arizona, Maryland

4) Wisconsin, Iowa State, Texas A&M, Ole Miss

5) Michigan, Purdue, Oregon, Louisville

6) BYU, Clemson, Illinois, Missouri

7) Kansas, St. Mary's, Gonzaga, UCLA

8) Marquette, Memphis, Miss State, Creighton

9) UConnGeorgia, Oklahoma, Baylor

10) Arkansas, New Mexico, Vanderbilt, West Virginia

11) Drake, VCU, Utah State/Texas, Xavier/San Diego St

12) UC-San Diego, Boise St, McNeese St, Liberty

13) Yale, Akron, High PointLipscomb

14) Troy, Utah Valley, UNC WilmingtonMontana

15) Robert MorrisWoffordOmaha, Norfolk State, 

16) Bryant, SIU-Edwardsville, St. Francis/American, Iona/Jackson St


Last out:  Indiana, UNC, Colorado State (would take Boise's place if they win tonight, but loser will be out)

Friday, March 14, 2025

3/14 Seed List

 1) Auburn, Duke, Houston, Florida

2) Alabama, Tennessee, Michigan State, St. John's

3) Texas Tech, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Iowa State

4) Maryland, Purdue, Wisconsin, Arizona

5) Clemson, Ole Miss, Oregon, BYU

6) Illinois, MissouriUCLA, Kansas

7) Michigan, St. Mary's, Gonzaga, Louisville

8) Marquette, Memphis, Miss State, UConn 

9) Creighton, Georgia, New Mexico, Oklahoma

10) Baylor, Arkansas, Vanderbilt, West Virginia

11) Drake, Utah State, North Carolina/Texas, Indiana/San Diego St

12) UC-San Diego, VCU, McNeese St, Liberty

13) Yale, Akron, High PointLipscomb

14) Troy, Utah Valley, UNC WilmingtonMontana

15) Robert MorrisWoffordOmaha, Norfolk State, 

16) Bryant, SIU-Edwardsville, St. Francis/American, Quinnipiac/Jackson St


Last out:  Xavier, Boise State.  No one else has a chance of getting an at-large bid.

Wednesday, March 12, 2025

3/12 Seed List

1) Auburn, Duke, Houston, Florida

2) Alabama, Tennessee, Michigan State, St. John's

3) Texas Tech, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Iowa State

4) Maryland, Purdue, Wisconsin, Oregon

5) Arizona, Ole Miss, Clemson, Michigan

6) Illinois, Kansas, UCLA, BYU

7) St. Mary's, Memphis, Gonzaga, Missouri

8) Louisville, Marquette, Miss State, UConn 

9) GeorgiaCreighton, New Mexico, West Virginia 

10) Vanderbilt, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Baylor

11) Drake, Utah State, San Diego State/Indiana, Xavier/Ohio State

12) UC-San Diego, VCU, McNeese St, Liberty

13) Yale, Akron, High PointLipscomb

14) Troy, Utah Valley, UNC WilmingtonNorthern Colorado

15) Robert Morris, Wofford, Omaha, Norfolk State, 

16) Bryant, SIU-Edwardsville, St. Francis/American, Quinnipiac/Southern


Last 3 out: I think there's a big gap between the teams in the field and the last few out.  UNC, Texas and maybe Boise State/Colorado State are the teams that could perhaps play their way in. Everyone else looks to be dead.


Notes:  

-I think FL and Bama are extremely close, but put FL up at a 1 for now... could definitely flip depending on SEC tournament results

-Louisville is the only team in the top 10 seed lines without at least one Q1-A win.  IMO they will be docked for that (but could move up a lot if they can get one in the ACC tourney)

-Gonzaga is still behind St. Mary's for me, but it is much closer than it was 24 hours ago

-OSU probably needs 2 wins in the BTT to stay in the field

-Utah State is a very good basketball team, but I think they are in some danger of missing the field if they lose their first MWC tourney game



Monday, March 10, 2025

3/10 Seed List

1) Auburn, Duke, Houston, Alabama

2) Florida, Tennessee, Michigan State, St. John's

3) Texas Tech, Texas A&M, Kentucky Iowa State

4) Maryland, Purdue, Wisconsin, Oregon

5) Ole Miss,, Arizona, Michigan, Clemson

6) St. Mary's, Illinois, UCLA, Kansas

7) BYU, Louisville, Missouri, Memphis

8) Marquette, Miss State, UConn, Gonzaga, 

9) GeorgiaCreighton, New Mexico, Baylor, 

10) West Virginia, Vanderbilt, Oklahoma, Arkansas

11) DrakeUC San Diego, Ohio State, Utah State/Indiana

12) San Diego State/Xavier, VCU, McNeese St, Liberty

13) Yale, Akron, High Point, Arkansas State

14) Lipscomb, Utah Valley, Furman, Towson 

15) Robert Morris, Northern Colorado, Central Conn St, Norfolk State

16) Bryant, Omaha, SIU-Edwardsville/American, Quinnipiac/Southern


Last 3 out: I think there's a big gap between the teams in the field and the last few out.  UNC, Texas and maybe Boise State/Colorado State are the teams that could perhaps play their way in. Everyone else looks to be dead.