3/15 AM

 

1) Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Florida 

2) UConn, Houston, Iowa State, Michigan State

3) Illinois, Purdue, Gonzaga, Nebraska

4) Vanderbilt, Virginia, Kansas, Alabama 

5) St. John's, Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Arkansas

6) Tennessee, Louisville, North Carolina, BYU 

7) Kentucky, UCLA, Miami FL, St. Mary's

8) Clemson, Ohio State, Utah State, Georgia

9) Villanova, Iowa, TCU, NC State 

10) Texas A&M, Santa Clara, St. Louis, UCF

11) Missouri, Miami OH/VCU, Texas/SMU, South Florida

12) McNeese St, Akron, Yale, High Point

13) Northern Iowa, Cal Baptist, Hofstra, Hawaii

14) ND State, Troy, Wright St, Kennesaw St

15) Tennessee St, Idaho, Furman, Queens

16) Siena, UMBC, Long Island/Prairie View A&M, Lehigh/Howard

Just missed: San Diego St, Oklahoma, Auburn

For the record, I am betting on the committee being lazy.  Purdue should be a 2 and Vandy should be a 3, especially if they win today and possibly even if they lose.  Based on years of doing this, I just don't think those are moves the committee is likely to make in the last 24 hours before release. 

I'm 95% settled that if Dayton wins, SMU will be the team that falls out.  One final update to come.....